Australian unions fear unemployment figures are hiding job losses

Date

Spread the love

Thousands of full-time workers lost their jobs over the holiday period, but despite this seismic decline, the unemployment rate remained stable.

Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Thursday revealed the number of full-time jobs in December plummeted by nearly 107,000 as part of the largest monthly fall in employment since the COVID-19 lockdowns.

However, the jobless rate managed to hold steady at 3.9 per cent because of outsized job growth in the months before with 52,000 more employed in December than September.

According to the Australian Council of Trade Unions president Michele O’Neil, this means the innocuousness of the unemployment rate is masking the concerning trends in the labour market.

 Tony Burke said the result was “the best set of annual figures Australia has ever had”. Image by Toby Zerna/AAP PHOTOS 

While the number of Australians employed full-time declined, the number of part-time workers surged by more than 41,000 which suggests employers are opting to hire people on a casual and insecure basis rather than offer permanent jobs.

The data also revealed 80,000 less women were employed full-time than in November and 42,000 entered part-time work while the overall underemployment rate increased to 8 per cent. 

“The cost-of-living crisis means we need to urgently address the rise of casual work,” Ms O’Neil said.

“It robs workers of sick and holiday pay, as well as control over budgeting and finances.

“Whilst some workers may prefer casual work, it’s important that employers can’t game the system and workers get a choice.”

Business Council of Australia chief executive Bran Black said the figures showed Australia was becoming less competitive.

“The consequences of that are already being seen in the latest insolvency figures and with businesses opting to not invest in Australia – and that costs real jobs,” he said.

“Unless businesses are successful our high standard of living will be put at risk.”

However, politicians and economists viewed the jobs data with some optimism.

Workplace Relations Minister Tony Burke said the result was “the best set of annual figures Australia has ever had in the history of the monthly series”.

“While the figures do show a softening in employment, this wasn’t unexpected given extremely strong consecutive monthly increases in October and November,” he said.

 Some analysts believe the RBA could cut rates sooner than expected following the latest data. Image by Bianca De Marchi/AAP PHOTOS 

CommSec economists Ryan Felsman and Craig James noted the labour market remains an important part of the nation’s fight against inflation.

“Australian employment fell sharply in December after two months of strong growth, while the unemployment rate stayed near a 18-month high, adding to the case that interest rates may have already peaked,” they wrote.

This comes after the ABS last Wednesday revealed the monthly consumer price index for November had slowed to 4.3 per cent, its lowest level since January 2022.

Taking the figures together, some analysts like Tony Sycamore from IG Australia, believe the RBA could cut rates sooner than expected, with economists’ predictions expected to solidify when fourth quarter inflation data is released on January 31.

However, Shadow Treasurer Angus Taylor said the jobs data showed the biggest jobs decline in three decades, outside of the COVID-19 era.

“Australians are being smashed at the moment with falling real disposable incomes, rising prices, rising interest rates and rising taxes all having a big impact on family budgets,” he said.

“In GDP per capita terms, we are in a recession. 

“At the end of the day, that’s the economic reality that counts – the personal.”

The Reserve Bank will make its first interest rate decision of the year on February 6.

About the Author

More
articles